{"id":108169,"date":"2024-06-18T09:39:59","date_gmt":"2024-06-18T08:39:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/?post_type=news&#038;p=108169"},"modified":"2025-02-28T14:02:46","modified_gmt":"2025-02-28T14:02:46","slug":"o-que-e-a-variancia-no-poker","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/en\/news\/o-que-e-a-variancia-no-poker\/","title":{"rendered":"What is Variance in Poker?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Variance is one of the most discussed and often feared concepts among poker players. Even the most skilled player is not immune to the ups and downs that variance can bring to poker. In this article, we'll explore how variance affects poker and how players can deal with it to achieve long-term success.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is Variance in Poker?<\/strong><\/h2><p>Variance in poker refers to the fluctuations in results that a player experiences due to the luck factor. Even if a player makes perfect decisions, variance can result in short-term losses. This is because, in poker, the expected value (EV) of a play is a weighted average of the possible outcomes, but what happens on each individual play can diverge significantly from this average.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p>In poker, variance can affect wins and losses in significant ways. It's common to go through periods of \u201cdownswing\u201d (continuous losses) or \u201cupswing\u201d (continuous wins), regardless of the quality of play. <\/p><p>It is crucial to understand that variance is an inevitable part of the game and that managing this aspect can make the difference between a successful player and a player who gives up.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Practical examples <\/strong><\/h2><p>The variance in poker refers to the short-term deviations in the\u00a0<em><strong>winrate<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0of a player in relation to the expected results. Even if a player wins with a\u00a0<em><strong>winrate<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0of 8BB\/100, it is rare that your\u00a0<em><strong>winrate<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0is always exactly 8BB\/100 over a sample of hands. In other words, this deviation is called the variance.\u00a0<\/p><p><strong>The larger the sample of hands analyzed, the closer the <em>winrate<\/em> will be the expected value (Ev).<\/strong> However, as variance is huge in poker, large deviations are common, especially in smaller hand samples, such as less than 50,000 hands.<\/p><p>You can use variance calculators to simulate the calculation of this standard deviation. For example, using\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.primedope.com\/poker-variance-calculator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Poker Variance Calculator<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"423\" src=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-108179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance.png 900w, https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance-624x293.png 624w, https:\/\/polarize.poker\/wp-content\/uploads\/poker-variance-600x282.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/figure><\/div><p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Example variance calculation for 100,000 hands and 8BB\/100 winrate<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p>In addition, you also have a variance calculation calculator available specifically for\u00a0<strong>tournaments (MTT's and SNG's)<\/strong>\u00a0\u2014\u00a0<em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.primedope.com\/tournament-variance-calculator\/\">Poker Tournament Variance Simulator.<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How to Beat Variance? \ud83c\udfaf<\/strong><\/h2><p><strong>1. Acceptance<\/strong><\/p><p>Accepting that variance is part of poker is the first step. The <em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/en\/news\/estou-numa-downswing-e-agora\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">downswings<\/a><\/strong><\/em> and <em>upswings<\/em> are part of any player's experience. By understanding this, you can focus on what's within your power: studying, doing warm-ups before sessions and maintaining self-knowledge.<\/p><p><strong>2. Perseverance<\/strong><\/p><p>To mitigate the effects of variance, you can:<\/p><ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Increase your <em>winrate<\/em>: study more and improve your strategy.<\/li>\n\n<li>Increase the volume of play: play more hands so that the results are closer to the expected average.<\/li><\/ol><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How to Deal with Variance?<\/strong><\/h2><div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Managing the Bankroll Effectively\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><p>It is essential to play within your financial limits. Participating in games or tournaments outside your bankroll can result in bigger swings and financial stress.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Lowering the Limits<\/strong><\/p><p>Playing at lower limits can help stabilize your finances and restore your confidence.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Choose Minor Tournaments<\/strong><\/p><p>Participating in tournaments with fewer players can reduce variance, as it is easier to achieve consistent results.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Controlling Expectations<\/strong><\/p><p>Setting realistic expectations can avoid frustration. Remember that losing is part of the game and something that all players, even professionals, experience.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Learning to Deal with Tilt \ud83d\ude24<\/strong><\/p><p>The <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/en\/news\/dicas-gerais-para-lidar-com-o-tilt\/\">tilt<\/a><\/em><\/strong> can aggravate the effects of variance. Recognize and control your emotions during a <em><a href=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/en\/news\/estou-numa-downswing-e-agora\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">downswing<\/a><\/em> is crucial to avoid mistakes.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Do Reviews and Study Constantly \ud83d\udcda<\/strong><\/p><p>Reviewing your moves and studying continuously are essential practices. Ask for a second opinion on your analysis to identify mistakes you may not have noticed.<\/p><div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2><p>Understanding and managing variance is fundamental for any poker player who aspires to long-term success. <strong>Accepting that fluctuations are part of the game and implementing strategies to deal with them can transform your approach to poker. <\/strong>Remember, in poker, knowledge and preparation are your greatest allies against variance.<\/p><div style=\"height:15px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p><strong>Join our community at Polarize Poker and learn from professionals how to deal with these challenges!<\/strong><\/p><div style=\"height:35px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div><p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>Inspirational articles:<\/strong><\/p><ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><a href=\"https:\/\/upswingpoker.com\/embrace-variance-in-poker\/\">Embrace Variance in Poker \u2013 Upswing Poker<\/a><\/li><\/ol>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A vari\u00e2ncia \u00e9 um dos conceitos mais discutidos e, muitas vezes, temidos pelos jogadores de poker. Mesmo o jogador mais habilidoso n\u00e3o est\u00e1 imune aos\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1237,"featured_media":108180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"tags":[340],"class_list":["post-108169","news","type-news","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-artigo-educativo"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>O Que \u00e9 a Vari\u00e2ncia no Poker? - Polarize Poker<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Neste artigo, vamos explorar como a vari\u00e2ncia afeta o poker e como os jogadores podem lidar com ela para alcan\u00e7ar o sucesso a longo prazo.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/polarize.poker\/en\/news\/o-que-e-a-variancia-no-poker\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"O Que \u00e9 a Vari\u00e2ncia no Poker? 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